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HOME2023-01-22T13:43:33-07:00

Damn, there is so much great knowledge out there. Did you know that “BOOKS” are full of smart?? No, I mean like life changing, I-wish-I-knew-that-years-ago type stuff.

I know that I was waaaayyy late to the game figuring it out. And I know that a lot of you are too busy to read as much as you ‘should’. And that is why you need me.

I still remember how it started for me. It started in June of 2008. After 11  years …..Click to continue

Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/08/26 {{catlist}}
June 8, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/08/2026** Friday's jobs report sent bond investors scrambling as markets priced in a potential Federal Reserve rate hike by December. The U.S. added 172,000 jobs in May—nearly double forecasts—with unemployment holding steady at 4.3%, signaling resilience that could force the Fed to tighten policy to combat sticky inflation. Treasury yields jumped across the curve, with the 10-year climbing to 4.55% and traders now betting on a 20% chance of a second hike. This repricing caught many off guard after a week of geopolitical uncertainty and energy concerns. The labor market's strength essentially closed the door on any near-term rate cuts, reshaping expectations heading into Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's first policy meeting on June 16-17. Agency MBS and GNMA securities held ground during the intraday volatility, with five-year and 10-year Treasuries underperforming as the curve flattened further. UMBS 5.5% coupons traded near par at 100.07, while GNMA 6.0% coupons climbed to 101.75, reflecting selective demand in higher-coupon pools. Mortgage originators face a narrowing window to lock borrowers into current rates before a potential summer tightening cycle unfolds. The prospect of higher-for-longer rates is already pressuring refinance pipelines and will likely weigh on purchase applications as summer progresses. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan added fuel to rate-hike expectations in comments made before Friday's jobs release, warning that "higher interest rates could be necessary later this year" given inflation trending toward 4% and corporate earnings remaining robust. Her remarks echoed broader hawkish sentiment across the FOMC, with Goldman Sachs and BNP Paribas now forecasting at least one to three quarter-point hikes starting in December. This consensus shift signals an abrupt end to the "higher-for-longer hold" narrative and suggests the Fed could surprise markets with tightening rather than cuts. Mortgage rates tied to 10-year Treasuries will likely track higher alongside these expectations, making the next few weeks critical for rate locks. Housing market weakness is amplifying rate concerns as new listings fell 0.8% from April and were down 4.1% year-over-year, according to Zillow data. Existing-home sales declined 2.9% annually while price cuts became more common, with nearly one in four listings experiencing reductions in May. Homes are taking longer to sell and fewer are commanding premiums over asking price, signaling buyer demand is eroding under higher borrowing costs. This softening inventory and slowing sales activity underscore why mortgage brokers and lenders must act decisively to capture borrowers before rates move higher. Middle East tensions and energy prices added a second source of rate volatility on Monday as Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes despite ceasefire talks. Oil prices spiked above $94 per barrel, raising inflation concerns just days before the May Consumer Price Index report on Wednesday. Core CPI is expected to show inflation moderating toward 2.9% year-over-year, but headline inflation could spike to 4.2% due to energy costs, giving the Fed additional ammunition for a hawkish policy pivot. Geopolitical uncertainty will likely remain a dominant driver of bond market volatility this week. A Florida jury verdict awarding $47.8 million in a buyer broker commission fraud case signals growing legal exposure for brokers and agents as NAR commission guidelines continue shifting post-settlement. The case illustrates how enforcement of buyer broker agreements is becoming increasingly aggressive in court, even when disputes involve relatively small commissions. Mortgage professionals working with real estate teams should ensure buyer broker agreements are documented and enforceable in their jurisdictions. Industry consolidation also continues with Synergy One Lending merging into American Pacific Mortgage, reflecting ongoing M&A activity as smaller shops seek stability in a tightening rate environment. **Locking vs Floating** Job market resilience combined with rising inflation signals that rates have likely peaked for the moment—but remain on a tightening bias rather than a cutting bias. Markets have fully repriced out near-term Fed cuts and are now booking at least one hike by year-end, making the "lock button" the safer tactical choice unless intraday momentum clearly reverses. Confirmed support on the 10-year around 4.50% would offer a brief window to reassess, but borrowers should expect rates to drift higher into summer. **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 97.8 | 0.02 | | 5.5 | 100.07 | 0.04 | | 6.0 | 101.9 | -0.01 | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.33 | 0 | | 5.5 | 100.35 | 0.03 | | 6.0 | 101.75 | 0.11 | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.134 | 99.509 | -0.012 | | 3 yr | 4.186 | 98.085 | -0.014 | | 5 yr | 4.259 | 98.289 | -0.011 | | 7 yr | 4.386 | 99.186 | -0.009 | | 10 yr | 4.525 | 96.808 | -0.006 | | 30 yr | 5 | 96.139 | 0.001 | Market Data
The New Credit Score Reality: 4 Pros and 4 Cons That Will Actually Affect Your Business {{catlist}}
June 5, 2026
READ MORE

The New Credit Score Reality: 4 Pros and 4 Cons That Will Actually Affect Your Business

How the shift to FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 will change your daily workflow, your opportunities, and your bottom line

Change in the mortgage industry typically arrives with all the grace of a drunk elephant: loud, disruptive, and leaving a mess you'll be cleaning up for months. The transition to new credit scoring models is no exception. But unlike some regulatory changes that are all pain and no gain, this one actually comes with legitimate opportunities—if you know where to look and how to position yourself.

Let's cut through the noise and focus on the four most significant advantages and the four biggest challenges these credit scoring changes will create for mortgage companies, loan officers, and lenders. This isn't theory—this is what's going to affect your pipeline, your workflow, and your wallet.

The Pros: Real Opportunities in the New Scoring Landscape

Pro #1: Expanded Borrower Pool and Competitive Advantage

The most significant opportunity is access to borrowers who were previously unqualified or marginally qualified under the old scoring models. FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 are both designed to evaluate a broader range of credit behaviors, particularly benefiting borrowers who have improved their credit management over time or who have limited traditional credit history.

VantageScore 4.0, in particular, can generate scores for approximately 30-40 million consumers who were previously "unscorable" under traditional FICO models. These are people with thin credit files—perhaps recent immigrants, young adults, or individuals recovering from financial setbacks who haven't yet rebuilt extensive credit histories. When alternative data like rent and utility payments are fully integrated, this number could grow even larger.

For loan officers, this translates to real opportunity. Those referral partners who've been sending you borrowers that "just missed" qualification? You now have a legitimate reason to revisit those applications. The borrower who had a 615 FICO score six months ago might score 635 under the new models if they've been demonstrating positive payment behavior. That's the difference between an approval and a decline.

Early adopters who master these new scoring models will have a competitive edge. While your competitors are still figuring out how to explain the changes to borrowers, you can be closing loans with people they're turning away. The originators who educate themselves first, build relationships with underwriters who understand the nuances, and can confidently explain the new scores to borrowers and real estate agents will capture market share.

Pro #2: Better Credit Coaching and Borrower Guidance

The trended data component of both FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 creates a new opportunity for loan officers to provide more sophisticated credit coaching. Under the old models, you'd tell borrowers to pay down balances and avoid new inquiries. That advice still applies, but now you can provide much more nuanced guidance.

Because the new models reward consistent payment behavior over time, you can work with borrowers who are 6-12 months away from qualifying to develop specific action plans. A borrower who's been making minimum payments on credit cards? Show them how consistently paying more than the minimum for six months could boost their score significantly under FICO 10T, even if their overall utilization doesn't change dramatically.

This transforms your role from simple transaction facilitator to trusted financial advisor. Borrowers who receive this level of guidance become clients for life—and referral sources. The loan officer who helped someone improve their credit score by 40 points and qualify for a home doesn't just earn one commission; they earn a relationship that produces referrals for years.

Additionally, because you'll be seeing both the new and old scores during the transition period, you can identify specific credit behaviors that are helping or hurting borrowers under each model. This creates legitimate value-add conversations with borrowers that differentiate you from competitors who are just running credit and hoping for the best.

Pro #3: Reduced Disparate Impact and Fair Lending Benefits

From a compliance and business development perspective, the new scoring models potentially reduce fair lending risk. The FHFA's validation process specifically examined whether FICO 10T and VantageScore 4.0 reduce disparate impact on protected classes compared to the classic FICO models.

The data suggests that both new models produce higher scores on average for minority borrowers, particularly Black and Hispanic applicants, compared to the old FICO models. This isn't about lowering standards—it's about more accurately assessing creditworthiness by incorporating more sophisticated analysis of payment behavior over time.

For mortgage companies, this means potentially better fair lending metrics and reduced regulatory risk. For loan officers, it means more opportunities to serve diverse communities and expand into markets that may have been underserved by traditional lending criteria.

This also creates partnership opportunities with housing counseling agencies, community development organizations, and affordable housing initiatives. Organizations that work with first-time homebuyers and underserved communities will be looking for lenders who understand and can leverage the new scoring models to maximize approval rates. Position yourself as that expert, and you've got a referral pipeline that competitors can't easily replicate.

Pro #4: Technology and Automation Improvements

The infrastructure investments required to implement the new scoring models are forcing the entire industry to modernize. Fannie Mae's Desktop Underwriter and Freddie Mac's Loan Product Advisor are being updated with more sophisticated algorithms that can better evaluate the new scores in context.

For lenders willing to invest in their technology stack, this creates opportunities to streamline workflows and reduce manual intervention. Better automated underwriting means faster approvals, fewer conditions, and improved borrower experience. In a competitive market where speed matters, these improvements translate directly to closed loans.

Additionally, the credit reporting agencies are enhancing their platforms to deliver the new scores more efficiently. Lenders who integrate these enhanced platforms into their loan origination systems can reduce errors, minimize re-pulls, and provide faster service to borrowers. The companies that view this transition as an opportunity to upgrade their entire credit evaluation workflow—not just swap one score for another—will emerge more efficient and more profitable.

The Cons: Real Challenges You'll Need to Navigate

Con #1: Complexity and Training Requirements

The most immediate challenge is the dramatic increase in complexity. Instead of one set of FICO scores, you're now dealing with potentially six scores per borrower (three FICO 10T and three VantageScore 4.0). Understanding which score to use, how to explain discrepancies to borrowers, and how to navigate scenarios where the two models produce significantly different results requires substantial training.

For mortgage companies, this means significant investment in training programs. Every loan officer, processor, and underwriter needs to understand the new models. This isn't a one-hour webinar situation—this is comprehensive training on credit scoring methodology, fair lending implications, and practical application in underwriting decisions.

For individual loan officers, the learning curve is real. You'll need to invest time understanding how trended data works, why a borrower might score differently under each model, and how to explain this to borrowers who are already confused by having three different scores from three different bureaus. The borrower conversation just got significantly more complicated.

There's also the challenge of inconsistent knowledge across the industry. During the transition period, you might understand the new scores perfectly, but the real estate agent, the home inspector, and the closing attorney won't. You'll spend time educating everyone in the transaction chain, which slows down deals and creates friction.

Con #2: Increased Costs and Uncertain Pricing

Credit reports are about to get more expensive, and nobody's quite sure by how much. Under the old system, you paid for a tri-merge report with three FICO scores. Under the new system, you're getting six scores (or potentially more if lenders choose to pull both old and new scores during the transition).

FICO has historically charged premium pricing for newer score versions. FICO Score 9, for example, costs more than the classic FICO scores. FICO 10T will likely follow the same pattern. VantageScore's pricing for mortgage lending hasn't been fully disclosed, but it's unlikely to be cheaper than current FICO pricing—the credit bureaus didn't create a competitive scoring model to make less money.

For mortgage companies operating on thin margins, increased credit report costs directly impact profitability. A $10-$20 increase per credit report might not sound like much, but multiply that by thousands of applications annually, and it becomes a significant line item. These costs will either need to be absorbed (reducing profit margins) or passed to borrowers (reducing competitiveness).

There's also the question of re-scoring and credit supplements. If a borrower's score is close to a threshold, will you need to pull multiple score types to find the most favorable option? That could mean additional costs per file. The business model for credit evaluation is changing, and the full cost implications won't be clear until the market settles.

Con #3: Technology Integration Headaches and Operational Disruption

Every system in your technology stack that touches credit scores needs to be updated. Your loan origination system, your pricing engine, your automated underwriting interface, your point-of-sale platform, your customer relationship management system—all of it needs to be reconfigured to handle the new scoring models.

For large lenders with sophisticated IT departments, this is a manageable (if expensive) project. For small to mid-sized mortgage companies and independent brokers, this could be a nightmare. You're dependent on your technology vendors to update their systems, and those updates won't all happen simultaneously or smoothly.

During the transition period, expect glitches. Credit reports that don't populate correctly in your LOS. Pricing engines that can't interpret the new scores. Automated underwriting findings that contradict each other. Every one of these technical issues creates delays, requires manual intervention, and frustrates borrowers.

There's also the operational challenge of maintaining dual processes during the transition. You'll need procedures for handling both old and new score types, training staff on both, and ensuring quality control across both methodologies. This operational complexity increases error rates and slows down production.

For loan officers, this means more time spent on each file troubleshooting technical issues instead of originating new loans. It means more borrower conversations explaining delays that aren't your fault. It means more frustration with back-office operations that used to be seamless.

Con #4: Uncertain Investor Requirements and Secondary Market Fragmentation

Here's the challenge nobody's talking about enough: Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac aren't the only game in town. Portfolio lenders, credit unions, non-QM investors, and private-label securities issuers all have their own credit score requirements, and most haven't announced whether they'll accept the new scoring models.

This creates potential fragmentation in the secondary market. You might have a borrower who qualifies under FICO 10T for a Fannie Mae loan but doesn't qualify under classic FICO for a portfolio product. Or a jumbo loan investor that only accepts traditional FICO scores while the GSEs require the new models. Suddenly, you need to know which score each investor accepts before you can determine loan eligibility.

For mortgage companies that sell to multiple investors, this complexity is exponential. Your underwriting guidelines become investor-specific not just on debt-to-income ratios and loan-to-value limits, but on which credit scoring model to use. Your pricing becomes more complex. Your quality control becomes more challenging.

For loan officers, this means you can't make blanket statements about qualification anymore. "You need a 620 credit score" becomes "You need a 620 credit score under the specific scoring model accepted by the investor who will ultimately purchase this loan, which I won't know for certain until we lock your rate and determine pricing." That's not exactly a confidence-inspiring conversation.

There's also the representation and warranty risk. If you originate a loan using VantageScore 4.0 because it produced a higher score than FICO 10T, and that loan defaults, will your investor claim you should have used the more conservative score? The legal and contractual frameworks for these scenarios haven't been fully established, which creates uncertainty and risk.

The Bottom Line: Navigating the New Normal

The credit scoring changes are neither the disaster some fear nor the panacea others promise. Like most industry shifts, they create winners and losers based primarily on how quickly and effectively companies and individuals adapt.

The loan officers and mortgage companies that will thrive are those who:

• Invest in comprehensive training early rather than waiting until they're forced to

• View the expanded borrower pool as a genuine opportunity and build systems to capitalize on it

• Upgrade their technology infrastructure proactively rather than reactively

• Develop expertise in credit coaching and borrower guidance using the new models

• Build strong relationships with underwriters and operations staff who understand the nuances

• Communicate transparently with borrowers about the changes and what they mean

The companies that will struggle are those who treat this as a compliance checkbox—update the system, check the box, move on. The complexity and opportunities embedded in these changes reward expertise and punish complacency.

For individual loan officers, this is a career-defining moment. The originators who become known as the "credit score experts" in their markets, who can help borderline borrowers qualify through strategic credit coaching, who can navigate the complexity and explain it clearly to borrowers—those people will build businesses that competitors can't easily replicate.

The changes are coming whether you're ready or not. The question isn't whether to adapt—it's whether you'll adapt quickly enough to capture the opportunities or slowly enough that you're just catching up to competitors who moved faster.

The mortgage industry moves fast, and staying ahead of changes like these is the difference between leading your market and chasing it. Subscribe to Well That Makes Sense at WellThatMakesSense.com for analysis that cuts through the complexity and gives you actionable insights before your competitors figure it out. Because in this business, knowledge isn't just power—it's profit. And occasionally, it's the thing that keeps you from explaining to a borrower why they have six different credit scores and none of them make sense.

Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/04/26 {{catlist}}
June 4, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/04/2026** Peace negotiations headlines erased Wednesday's losses and sent mortgage-backed securities higher by mid-morning. The Trump administration's announcement of final talks to end the Iran war triggered a 4 basis point rally in the 10-year Treasury, which fell to 4.455% by 8:42 AM. MBS prices climbed 7 ticks across coupons, with UMBS 5.0 rising to 98.22 and UMBS 5.5 reaching 100.37. Jobless claims data at 8:30 AM showed 225K initial claims versus a 213K forecast, having minimal market impact. Oil prices retreated 3.2% below $95 per barrel, supporting bond strength despite ongoing geopolitical tension. The mortgage market faces a growing convexity hedging challenge that threatens volatility ahead. Bloomberg's analysis reveals that mortgage investors are increasingly protecting against price declines by selling Treasury futures when MBS prices fall—a strategy that amplifies market moves in both directions. With over $2 trillion in mortgage securities now carrying 5%+ coupons, roughly four times the level from three years ago, bondholders must actively hedge interest-rate risk. About one-third of outstanding MBS now trade near par value where convexity sensitivity is greatest, forcing frequent rebalancing. This "Beast" that vanished after the Fed's 2022 rate hikes has awakened, with Goldman Sachs estimating the recent selloff roughly equivalent to $40 billion in 10-year Treasury selling. GNMA and UMBS securities showed mixed performance as investors digested competing signals. GNMA 5.0 gained 0.09 points to 98.69 while UMBS 5.0 climbed 0.19 to 98.22, reflecting modest upward momentum. The narrower GNMA moves versus UMBS suggest government-guaranteed pools saw slightly less buying pressure. UMBS 6.0 advanced 0.09 to 102.03, though the curve steepness indicates traders remain cautious on longer coupons. These modest gains reflect the temporary relief from geopolitical headlines rather than fundamental shift in lending demand. Treasury yields retreated across the curve as investors repriced Fed rate-cut expectations. The 2-year yield fell 4.7 basis points to 4.035%, while the 10-year dropped 3.8 basis points to 4.458%. The 30-year yield declined 2.5 basis points to 4.966%, showing steeper cuts in shorter maturities. This inversion pattern suggests bond markets are pricing in economic caution or potential Fed easing later in 2026. Tomorrow's jobs report will be the critical test of whether today's calm persists or whether sticky labor data reignites inflation concerns. Mortgage originators should monitor the convexity hedging dynamic closely as it directly impacts secondary market execution. When mortgage prices fall sharply, hedgers dump Treasury futures to protect positions, which pushes yields higher and further crushes MBS values—a feedback loop that narrows margins. The presence of $2 trillion in higher-coupon securities means this hedging activity will intensify on any significant rate spike. Loan officers locking borrowers now enjoy a 90-day window where origination risk is partially protected, but the Treasury pipeline remains vulnerable to sudden volatility. Secondary teams should prepare for wider bid-ask spreads on any new economic data shock. Friday's employment report will determine whether today's peace-driven rally has staying power. With initial jobless claims already rising to 225K and only modest data remaining this week, the jobs number becomes the market's sole focus. If nonfarm payrolls disappoint, expect another 5-10 basis point drop in the 10-year as recession fears resurface. Conversely, strong employment could reignite inflation concerns and push yields back toward the 4.50% resistance level. Mortgage sellers should prepare lock/float strategies around the 4.43 to 4.51 range, which remains the operative trading band until Friday's print reshapes expectations. **Locking vs Floating** War-related headlines continue to create overnight volatility, though market sensitivity to geopolitical shocks has diminished over the past two weeks. Floating positions remain a "coin flip" in this environment rather than a clear advantage. For those trading the narrow 10-year yield range between 4.43 and 4.51, today's move back toward the higher end suggests short-term locking opportunities. The convexity hedging dynamic means sudden rate spikes are possible, making overnight floats riskier than the typical pattern would suggest. **Today's Events** Jobless Claims (May/30): 225K vs 213K forecast, 215K prior Challenger Layoffs (May): 83.387K Continued Claims (May/23): 1.777M vs 1.780M forecast **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.22 | 0.19 | | 5.5 | 100.37 | 0.19 | | 6.0 | 102.03 | 0.09 | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.73 | 0.13 | | 5.5 | 100.56 | 0.09 | | 6.0 | 101.77 | 0.09 | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.035 | 99.696 | -0.047 | | 5 yr | 4.170 | 98.683 | -0.047 | | 10 yr | 4.458 | 97.336 | -0.038 | | 30 yr | 4.966 | 96.649 | -0.025 | Market Data
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