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HOME2023-01-22T13:43:33-07:00

Damn, there is so much great knowledge out there. Did you know that “BOOKS” are full of smart?? No, I mean like life changing, I-wish-I-knew-that-years-ago type stuff.

I know that I was waaaayyy late to the game figuring it out. And I know that a lot of you are too busy to read as much as you ‘should’. And that is why you need me.

I still remember how it started for me. It started in June of 2008. After 11  years …..Click to continue

Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/16/26 {{catlist}}
June 16, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/16/2026** Markets rallied overnight on Iran peace deal optimism as the U.S. and Iran agreed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and begin nuclear negotiations, sending oil to three-month lows and reshaping investor expectations around inflation. MBS gained six ticks with UMBS 5.0 coupons reaching 98.36, while GNMA 5.5 coupons hit 100.71 as Treasuries rallied across the curve. The 10-year Treasury yield fell four basis points to 4.438 percent, driven by expectations that lower energy costs will ease inflation pressures. Geopolitical developments, not economic data, are now the primary driver of near-term bond performance, according to capital markets strategists. This momentum could persist through Friday's formal Iran agreement signing, though some uncertainty remains about deal implementation. May housing data came in weak across the board, signaling continued headwinds for the construction sector and residential mortgage demand. Housing starts collapsed 15.4 percent month-over-month to 1.177 million annualized, missing the 1.430 million forecast and falling well below the 1.370 to 1.497 million economist range. Building permits declined 0.7 percent to 1.413 million, essentially in line with expectations but reflecting tepid builder confidence. Completions dropped to 1.313 million from 1.429 million the prior month, suggesting a slowdown in pipeline activity. Higher mortgage rates and lingering economic uncertainty continue to weigh on housing production, keeping pressure on originator volumes. Import price inflation accelerated to 1.9 percent month-over-month in May, meeting analyst expectations and matching the prior month's reading, while export prices unexpectedly fell to 1.3 percent from 3.3 percent previously. ADP employment growth decelerated sharply to 25.5 thousand last week, falling well below the prior month's 29 thousand gain and suggesting labor market momentum is slowing. These softer economic readings reinforce the market narrative that the Fed will pause rate hikes and remain patient, even as inflation concerns linger. Investors are now awaiting Kevin Warsh's first Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday, where policymakers are expected to hold rates steady. The Fed's updated economic projections will likely signal higher inflation expectations and a slight shift toward the possibility of future rate hikes, though messaging should remain dovish. **Locking vs Floating** Lock or float decisions remain balanced at this moment, with meaningful uncertainties surrounding the Iran peace deal execution hanging over markets through Friday's formal agreement signing. The downside risk is that the deal falls apart, pushing yields higher and hurting borrowers who waited; the upside is that a finalized agreement could push yields even lower as energy inflation expectations decline further. Current positioning suggests defending against a move above Friday's highs in the 10-year yield, with particular caution needed if yields approach 4.42 percent and bounce hard. For now, neither aggressive locking nor floating has a clear edge given geopolitical headline risk and thin economic data. **Today's Events** ADP Employment Change Weekly: 25.5K vs. prior 29K Building Permits (May): 1.413M vs. forecast 1.42M, prior 1.423M Housing Starts (May): 1.177M vs. forecast 1.43M, prior 1.465M Import Prices (May): 1.9% vs. forecast 1.0%, prior 1.9% Export Prices (May): 1.3% vs. prior 3.3% 20-Year Treasury Bond Auction: $13 billion **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.36 | 0.10 | | 5.5 | 100.38 | 0.05 | | 6.0 | 102.16 | 0.04 | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.89 | 0.08 | | 5.5 | 100.71 | 0.05 | | 6.0 | 102.01 | 0.04 | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.068 | 99.632 | -0.001 | | 3 yr | 4.109 | 98.298 | -0.023 | | 5 yr | 4.177 | 98.652 | -0.014 | | 7 yr | 4.305 | 99.672 | -0.018 | | 10 yr | 4.452 | 97.382 | -0.021 | | 30 yr | 4.951 | 96.87 | -0.023 | Market Data
Why Your "Networking Strategy" Is Actually Just Expensive Small Talk {{catlist}}
June 16, 2026
READ MORE reading notes from Alex Hormozi on the Modern Wisdom Podcast.  You should listen to Modern Wisdom.  It's good.

Why Your "Networking Strategy" Is Actually Just Expensive Small Talk

Alex Hormozi's framework for building relationships that actually generate business instead of just collecting business cards

Let's play a game: count how many networking events you attended last year. Now count how many actual closed deals you can directly trace to those events. If the ratio makes you uncomfortable, you're not alone. Alex Hormozi has built multiple eight-figure businesses while attending approximately zero networking mixers, and his Modern Wisdom breakdown of why most networking is worthless should make every real estate professional reconsider whether that Tuesday morning coffee meeting is actually an investment or just an expensive way to avoid doing real work. Here's Hormozi's uncomfortable truth about networking: most people confuse socializing with business development. They attend events, collect business cards, have pleasant conversations, and call it networking. Then they wonder why their calendar is full but their pipeline is empty. Real networking—the kind that actually generates business—looks completely different from the rubber chicken dinner circuit most real estate professionals waste time on. The real estate industry has a particularly toxic relationship with networking because we've been told that "relationships are everything" and "people do business with people they know, like, and trust." Both statements are true, but they've been twisted into justification for attending every possible networking event and calling it business development. Hormozi would ask one simple question: what's your ROI on networking time? For most agents and loan officers, the answer is somewhere between "terrible" and "I've never calculated it." Think about your typical networking event. You show up, make small talk with people you've seen at the last twelve networking events, exchange business cards with people who will never call you, eat mediocre food, and leave feeling like you "put yourself out there." You might even get a few LinkedIn connections or Instagram follows. Hormozi would call this "networking theater"—looking like you're doing business development while actually accomplishing nothing.

The Strategic Relationship Framework

Hormozi's approach to relationships is ruthlessly strategic. He doesn't network—he builds strategic relationships with specific people who can help him achieve specific goals. Every relationship has a purpose. Every interaction moves toward a specific outcome. This sounds cold and transactional until you realize it's actually more respectful than pretending to care about someone's weekend while secretly hoping they'll send you referrals. For real estate professionals, strategic relationships fall into a few categories: referral sources (people who can send you clients), strategic partners (people who serve the same clients and can collaborate), mentors (people who have achieved what you want to achieve), and clients (people who need your services and might become repeat or referral sources). Every person you invest time with should fall into one of these categories. If they don't, you're socializing, not networking. This doesn't mean you can't have friends or casual acquaintances. It means your business networking time should be spent strategically on relationships that can actually generate business results. That random networking mixer where you meet forty people you'll never talk to again? That's not strategic. A one-on-one coffee with a financial advisor who serves your target client and could send you referrals? That's strategic. Hormozi recommends a simple framework: identify the twenty-five people who could most impact your business if you had strong relationships with them. These might be top-producing agents in your market, influential financial advisors, successful business owners who know your target clients, or past clients who loved working with you. Then systematically build deep relationships with those twenty-five people instead of shallow relationships with hundreds.

The Depth Over Breadth Principle

Most real estate professionals operate on a "more is better" networking philosophy. More events, more connections, more business cards, more LinkedIn contacts. Hormozi operates on the opposite principle: depth over breadth. He'd rather have five incredibly strong relationships that generate consistent business than five hundred casual connections that generate nothing. Think about the math. If you have one strategic partner—say, a financial advisor—who sends you two qualified referrals per month, that's twenty-four deals per year from one relationship. Now compare that to attending twenty-four networking events where you meet one hundred people at each event. You've met twenty-four hundred people, collected twenty-four hundred business cards, and probably generated zero deals. Which is the better use of time? For loan officers, this might mean building deep relationships with five to ten top real estate agents who consistently send you business, rather than trying to be connected with every agent in town. For agents, it might mean cultivating strong relationships with a few key referral sources—financial advisors, divorce attorneys, estate planners—who regularly send you ideal clients. The depth approach requires different behaviors than typical networking. Instead of trying to meet everyone at an event, you focus on having one meaningful conversation. Instead of collecting business cards, you schedule specific follow-up meetings. Instead of staying surface-level, you learn about their business, their challenges, their goals, and figure out how you can genuinely help them succeed.

The Give-First Strategy That Actually Works

Hormozi talks about the importance of "giving value first" in relationships, but not in the cheesy "law of attraction" way most networking gurus preach. His approach is strategic: identify what someone needs, provide it without expecting immediate return, and build relationship equity that pays dividends over time. This is completely different from showing up at networking events hoping people will send you business because you're friendly. For real estate professionals, giving value first might mean sending a strategic partner three qualified referrals before ever asking for one in return. It might mean creating a market report specifically valuable to financial advisors and sharing it with them monthly. It might mean introducing two people who could help each other succeed, with no benefit to you except relationship equity. The key is making your value-giving strategic and relevant. Don't just send random articles or generic "thinking of you" messages. Provide specific value that helps them achieve their goals. If you're building a relationship with a financial advisor, send them clients who need financial planning. If you're cultivating an estate attorney, send them people who need estate planning. Make yourself valuable by solving their problems, not by asking them to solve yours. Hormozi built his business network by being the person who could solve problems for influential people. He didn't ask for favors—he did favors, built relationship equity, and eventually those relationships became mutually beneficial. Most real estate professionals do the opposite: they meet someone and immediately start asking for referrals without ever providing value first.

The Follow-Up System Nobody Implements

Hormozi says the fortune is in the follow-up, but most people's follow-up system is "I'll try to remember to reach out sometime." That's not a system, that's hope. Real follow-up is systematic, consistent, and adds value every time. It's the difference between someone remembering you exist and someone actively wanting to send you business. For strategic relationships, Hormozi recommends a structured follow-up cadence. After initial meeting, send a personalized follow-up within twenty-four hours. Schedule a specific next interaction before ending the current one. Add them to a system that ensures regular touchpoints—monthly at minimum for top-tier relationships. Make every touchpoint valuable, not just "checking in." In real estate, this might look like: meet a potential referral partner, send a personalized follow-up email with something specifically valuable to them, schedule a coffee meeting in two weeks, add them to your monthly value-add email list, send them a referral within thirty days, check in monthly with something useful. Six months later, you have a real relationship built on mutual value, not just a business card collecting dust. Most agents and loan officers fail at follow-up because they don't have a system. They rely on memory, which fails. They wait until they need something, which is too late. They make contact generic and forgettable rather than personalized and valuable. Then they wonder why their "network" never generates business.

The Measurement Framework for Relationship ROI

Hormozi measures everything, including relationships. He knows which relationships generate business, which are developing, and which are dead weight. Most real estate professionals have no idea which relationships actually produce results versus which ones just consume time. This leads to spending equal time on all relationships regardless of ROI, which is insane. Create a simple tracking system for strategic relationships. Track who you've invested time with, what value you've provided, what value you've received, and what business has resulted. Review this quarterly. You'll quickly see which relationships are worth deepening and which are worth dropping. This feels cold, but it's actually just smart business. For example, you might discover that the financial advisor you have coffee with monthly has sent you twelve clients this year, while the attorney you also meet with monthly has sent you zero. Maybe it's time to increase frequency with the financial advisor and decrease frequency with the attorney. Or figure out what's blocking the attorney relationship from being productive. Either way, you're making decisions based on data, not feelings. Hormozi also tracks "relationship velocity"—how quickly relationships move from initial contact to business generation. Some relationships take years to develop. Others generate business within weeks. Knowing this helps you set appropriate expectations and invest time accordingly. If a relationship has been "developing" for two years with zero business results, it's probably not a strategic relationship—it's a friendship you're mislabeling as networking.

The Networking Event Decision Matrix

So should you ever attend networking events? Hormozi's framework: only if you can identify specific strategic relationships you're trying to build and those people will be there. Don't attend events hoping to meet someone useful. Attend events because you've identified that three specific people you want relationships with will be there, and you have a plan to create value for them. This completely changes how you approach networking events. Instead of working the room trying to meet everyone, you have specific targets and specific goals. You research them beforehand. You prepare specific value you can offer. You have a clear follow-up plan. You treat it like a business development meeting, not a social hour. Most networking events fail this test. Random mixers where you don't know who will attend? Probably not worth your time. Industry conferences where you've identified five key people you want to connect with and have researched how you can help them? Potentially valuable. The event itself isn't what matters—your strategy for the event is what matters. Hormozi built his network by being ruthlessly strategic about who he invested time with and why. Most real estate professionals build their network by attending whatever event has an open bar and hoping something good happens. The results speak for themselves. Stop networking and start building strategic relationships. Stop collecting business cards and start creating mutual value. Stop hoping your network will generate business and start systematically building relationships with people who can. Your calendar and your bank account will thank you.
  Tired of networking events that waste your time and generate zero business? Subscribe to Well That Makes Sense at WellThatMakesSense.com for frameworks that help you build relationships that actually generate referrals and revenue. Because life's too short for rubber chicken dinners that don't pay the bills.
Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/15/26 {{catlist}}
June 15, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 06/15/2026** Peace deal news sent MBS securities sharply higher and Treasury yields tumbling by 3 to 6 basis points this morning as markets priced in falling energy costs. The U.S.-Iran agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz signals relief from inflation pressure, with oil dropping 5% to near three-month lows and the 10-year Treasury sliding to 4.44%. UMBS 5.0 coupons rallied nearly 0.30 points while 5.5 coupons gained 0.22 points, indicating strong appetite for mortgage securities as Fed rate-hike expectations dial back. GNMA securities followed suit with similar strength across coupons. Market analysts expect the Fed's Wednesday decision will hold rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75%, with momentum now favoring patience over tightening. Weaker economic data reinforced the dovish shift overnight. The June Empire State Manufacturing index collapsed to 5.7, far below the 14.0 forecast and a dramatic drop from May's 19.6 reading. Industrial production in May came in at 0.1%, missing expectations of 0.3% and suggesting cooling economic momentum. New orders tumbled to 3.5 versus 22.7 prior, signaling a sharp pullback in manufacturing confidence. These misses, combined with softening consumer expectations, give the Fed cover to remain patient despite elevated inflation readings that would normally trigger tightening. For mortgage originators, this means rate environment is likely stabilizing, though refinance activity remains muted given current 4.4% to 4.5% levels still elevated versus borrower expectations. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh faces his first rate decision this week as markets obsess over whether the Iran deal sticks or unravels. Traders are pricing only a 70% to 75% chance of a December rate hike, down from 80% on Friday, reflecting genuine shift in expectations. The curve is steepening with shorter maturities outperforming longer ones, a classic sign investors see lower rates ahead. Treasury two-year yields fell as much as 7 basis points to 4.01%, while 30-year yields sank to 4.92%, their lowest since May 7. The Strait of Hormuz reopens Friday, but Iran has only committed to 60 days of free passage, creating tail risk if negotiations break down. For mortgage sellers locking long-term production, this window of lower rates presents fleeting opportunity before deal uncertainty resurfaces. AI-powered automation is reshaping mortgage underwriting workflows as startups race to compress document review timelines. Copperlane, a $4.1 million seed-funded startup, autonomously scans thousands of pages of borrower documents, identifies suspicious deposits, flags underwriting conditions, and drafts explanatory letters—all before human review. The company, founded by two 21-year-olds from Princeton and Penn, targets compression of four-plus hours of per-file work down to minutes. Industry conversations are gravitating toward affordability, AI adoption, and regulatory change as lenders chase sustainable growth models. Mortgage originators should monitor AI underwriting tools closely, as early adopters gain processing speed advantages in volume-constrained markets. Two Harbors allowed UWM's direct negotiation window to expire without a revised bid, leaving the CrossCountry merger on track for a June 23 shareholder vote. UWM CEO Mat Ishbia discussed structural changes on a June 11 video call but declined written proposals, signaling either confidence in CrossCountry terms or strategic retreat. The inability to force a competitive bid means UWM stock remains near all-time lows at $2.38, reflecting investor skepticism about standalone prospects. For mortgage dealers and service providers, the CrossCountry consolidation path suggests continued industry concentration among larger platforms. Regulatory approvals stand at 46 of 53, with voting imminent. Consumer comfort with AI-driven mortgage decisions has crossed a psychological threshold, with 53% of homebuyers willing to complete purchases without human involvement according to Veterans United. Nearly 90% of buyers trust AI for financial advice and 76% would let algorithms shop lenders, though only 25% feel very comfortable with fully automated closings. Veterans show higher AI trust at 77% versus 59% for civilian buyers, signaling generational shifts in borrower behavior. The caveat remains critical: buyers want AI handling research and paperwork but demand humans for actual decisions. This bifurcation reshapes loan officer roles from processors toward hybrid advisors managing AI-assisted workflows rather than performing repetitive document work. **Locking vs Floating** Economic data deterioration and geopolitical de-escalation have shifted the rate trajectory downward, favoring float strategies for new production locks. Near-term economic momentum appears genuinely softening with manufacturing surveys and production data disappointing consensus, reducing inflation persistence risk and supporting Fed patience. The Iran deal, if sustained through Friday signing, removes a material upside risk to energy costs that would otherwise keep rate yields higher. Lock economics improve for borrowers if current uncertainty persists into next week, but floating offers optionality if deal negotiations falter or inflation surprises return. Originators with existing commitments should monitor Fed statement language Wednesday for any hints on tightening bias—removal of easing language would mark critical pivot. **Today's Events** NY Fed Manufacturing (Jun): 5.70 vs 14.0 forecast, 19.6 prior Industrial Production (May): 0.1% vs 0.3% forecast, 0.7% prior NAHB Housing Market Index (Jun): Coming later today **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.031 | 99.704 | -0.056 | | 3 yr | 4.079 | 98.381 | -0.055 | | 5 yr | 4.157 | 98.738 | -0.051 | | 7 yr | 4.29 | 99.759 | -0.041 | | 10 yr | 4.442 | 97.464 | -0.043 | | 30 yr | 4.945 | 96.961 | -0.026 | Market Data
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