Loading...
HOME2023-01-22T13:43:33-07:00

Damn, there is so much great knowledge out there. Did you know that “BOOKS” are full of smart?? No, I mean like life changing, I-wish-I-knew-that-years-ago type stuff.

I know that I was waaaayyy late to the game figuring it out. And I know that a lot of you are too busy to read as much as you ‘should’. And that is why you need me.

I still remember how it started for me. It started in June of 2008. After 11  years …..Click to continue

Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/15/26 {{catlist}}
May 15, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/15/2026** The afternoon bond rally collapsed on Thursday, leaving mortgage securities and Treasuries sharply weaker heading into Friday. UMBS 30-year prices fell across all coupons, with the 5.0 coupon dropping 44 basis points intraday and the 6.0 coupon falling 20 basis points. GNMA 30-year securities posted similar losses, though slightly smaller in magnitude across the board. The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 65 basis points intraday to 4.55%, signaling a broad selloff in fixed-income markets. Geopolitical tensions and war-related headlines continue to inject volatility into bond pricing with no predictable pattern. The weakness accelerated across the entire yield curve, with even shorter-duration Treasuries posting significant losses. The 2-year yield gained 42 basis points while the 30-year climbed 66 basis points intraday, reflecting broad-based selling pressure. This flattening dynamic puts pressure on mortgage origination margins as the 10-year remains the primary pricing benchmark. Secondary market lenders will need to adjust pricing to lock clients facing uncertainty, likely compressing bid-ask spreads. Current volatility levels suggest clients should avoid making lock-float decisions based on short-term headlines. Short-term rate volatility driven by geopolitical events creates an impossible environment for mechanical lock-float strategies. The unpredictable nature of war-related headlines means traditional support and resistance levels are temporarily unreliable. However, longer-term analysis suggests that a potential peace deal could provide meaningful downward pressure on yields from current levels. Borrowers who can tolerate near-term volatility may benefit from floating locks, but only with clear risk tolerance discussions. The elevated uncertainty argues for locking clients now rather than waiting for a clarity that may not arrive soon. Treasury intraday pricing reflected substantial losses across all maturities, with price declines ranging from 99.641 to 94.709 depending on term. The 10-year Treasury at 4.55% represents a notable move higher, placing it near resistance levels that have capped yields in recent weeks. The steeper 30-year yield at 5.096% continues to reflect inflation expectations and Fed policy uncertainty. Mortgage-backed securities followed Treasury weakness but did not decouple significantly, preserving relative value relationships. The MBS-Treasury spread remains stable despite absolute price weakness, a positive signal for mortgage lender economics. **Locking vs Floating** War headlines continue driving volatile price swings in bonds with no predictable schedule or direction. Building a rational lock-float strategy is nearly impossible when geopolitical catalysts can move yields 50+ basis points in hours. Focus on the bigger picture: a peace agreement would likely bring meaningful rate relief from where yields stand today. In the near term, accept that volatility will persist and position clients accordingly with conservative lock recommendations. The intraday ceiling and floor framework for 10-year yields remains your best tool for tracking bond market momentum beyond daily noise. **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 97.69 | -0.44 | | 5.5 | 99.92 | -0.29 | | 6.0 | 101.74 | -0.2 | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | | 5.0 | 98.46 | -0.37 | | 5.5 | 100.38 | -0.17 | | 6.0 | 101.54 | -0.17 | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 4.064 | 99.641 | 0.042 | | 3 yr | 4.113 | 98.286 | 0.052 | | 5 yr | 4.213 | 98.489 | 0.062 | | 7 yr | 4.377 | 99.24 | 0.065 | | 10 yr | 4.55 | 96.618 | 0.065 | | 30 yr | 5.096 | 94.709 | 0.066 | Market Data
This $1.3 Billion Mortgage Brawl Just Got Nastier — And It's About to Hit a Breaking Point {{catlist}}
May 15, 2026
READ MORE
 

This $1.3 Billion Mortgage Brawl Just Got Nastier — And It's About to Hit a Breaking Point


If you work in the mortgage industry and you have not been watching the war between UWM and CrossCountry Mortgage over a company called Two Harbors Investment Corp., you have been missing the most dramatic corporate fight the business has seen in years. Open letters. Competing bids. A board calling a rival's offer "predatory." A major shareholder advisory firm flipping the script days before a vote. And a shareholder meeting on Monday that could reshape the industry for a long time.

This is not Wall Street noise. This story touches your pipeline, your pricing, and the economics of the channel you work in every day.

Let's start from the beginning — because this one moves fast.

How It Started

Back in December 2025, United Wholesale Mortgage — the largest wholesale lender in the country — agreed to acquire Two Harbors Investment Corp. in an all-stock deal worth roughly $1.3 billion. Two Harbors is not a household name for most loan officers, but it matters enormously to anyone who cares about mortgage servicing. Two Harbors owns RoundPoint Mortgage Servicing, a platform that sits on top of a $176 billion mortgage servicing rights portfolio. For UWM, which has been aggressively building its in-house servicing capabilities, acquiring RoundPoint would fast-track that strategy in a major way.

The deal looked done. Then March happened.

CrossCountry Mortgage, one of the largest retail lenders in the country and based out of Cleveland, showed up with an unsolicited all-cash offer of $10.80 per share and agreed to cover the $25.4 million termination fee that Two Harbors would owe UWM for walking away. The Two Harbors board looked at cash certainty vs. UWM stock — which had lost 28% of its value in the preceding months — and called CrossCountry's offer superior. They terminated the UWM agreement.

UWM did not go quietly. What followed was one of the most publicly fought corporate battles in recent mortgage industry history.

The Bidding War in Numbers

At one point, a mystery third bidder surfaced with a $10.75 per share offer, only to be quickly passed by CrossCountry raising to $10.80. UWM fired back. CrossCountry raised again to $11.30, which the Two Harbors board accepted. UWM went to $12. CrossCountry matched at $12. UWM raised to $12.50, with shareholders able to choose either $12.50 in cash or 2.3328 shares of UWM stock per Two Harbors share.

The shareholder vote on whether to approve the CrossCountry deal is scheduled for Monday, May 19. That means, as of today, there are four days left on the clock.

The Board's Response Was Not Subtle

When UWM raised to $12.50 this week, the Two Harbors board did not just say no. They dismantled the offer in a sharply worded public statement, calling it "illusory, predatory, and unactionable" — three words you do not typically see in a polished corporate press release. The board's case is this: UWM's $12.50 headline price sounds good, but the default consideration for any shareholder who does not proactively elect cash is UWM stock, currently worth about $7.58 per share as of Monday's close. The board estimates that as many as 30% of Two Harbors shareholders could end up defaulting into stock rather than cash — a scenario the board says UWM has deliberately designed into the offer structure to reduce what it actually pays.

The board also raised pointed financial concerns about UWM's ability to close a deal at all. Fitch has downgraded UWM's credit outlook twice in the past six months. UWM's cash position dropped from $503 million at year-end to $424 million by March 31. The company's leverage is at an all-time high of 3.2 times. And UWM's latest $12.50 bid was not accompanied by an increase in its financing commitment from Mizuho Bank, raising questions about whether the full all-cash option is even funded.

UWM shot back within hours, accusing the board of a "complete and illogical distortion" of its duties to shareholders.

The Proxy Advisor That Changed the Narrative

Here is where it gets interesting for the CrossCountry side of the ledger. Institutional Shareholder Services — known as ISS — is one of the most influential proxy advisory firms in the world. Major institutional investors take their recommendations seriously. And just two days before this writing, ISS issued a recommendation telling Two Harbors shareholders to vote against the CrossCountry deal.

ISS concluded that the board had not run a process designed to maximize shareholder value, and noted that UWM's presence had already been the catalyst that pushed CrossCountry to improve its offer twice. Without UWM staying in the fight, shareholders would have been cashing out at $10.80 per share instead of $12.00. ISS said the board's approach did not appear to be "one that will facilitate full price discovery."

The Two Harbors board called the ISS analysis wrong and doubled down on CrossCountry, but institutional investors do not dismiss ISS recommendations lightly. With the vote five days out, this one genuinely matters.

Why Every Loan Officer Should Be Paying Attention

The surface-level story here is about which company wins a bidding war. The deeper story is about why these two companies are fighting this hard in the first place.

Two Harbors and RoundPoint represent a major chunk of mortgage servicing infrastructure. Whoever ends up owning RoundPoint will control how hundreds of thousands of borrowers' loans get managed after closing — including the borrowers you helped get into their homes. That means retention opportunities, refinance pipelines, and ongoing borrower relationships that flow directly from the servicing platform.

More importantly, mortgage servicing rights have become the strategic resource that major lenders are quietly building empires around. In a market where origination volume is constrained by rates, servicing income is what keeps the lights on. The fight over Two Harbors is a fight over that income — and the pricing strategy that comes with it.

How this ends on Monday will matter for a long time after Monday.

In our next post, we are going to go deeper on what this whole saga is revealing about the financial pressure building underneath the mortgage industry — including some genuinely uncomfortable comparisons that respected analysts are now making in public.

If you want to be the loan officer who actually understands why things work the way they do, subscribe to Well That Makes Sense and we will keep the explanations coming. No jargon. No fluff. Just the stuff that actually matters to your business — delivered to your inbox before your competitors figure out it was important.

 
Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/14/26 {{catlist}}
May 14, 2026
READ MORE **WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (AM) - 05/14/2026** MBS rallied strongly overnight after initially selling off when producer prices crushed forecasts, with the 30-year UMBS 5.0 coupon gaining 22 basis points to 98.44 while the 10-year Treasury fell 30 basis points to 4.443%. Retail sales came in exactly on target at 0.5%, and jobless claims at 211K were only marginally higher than the 205K estimate, providing no fresh volatility. April import prices surged 1.9% month-over-month, nearly double the 1.0% forecast, with a 6.0% year-over-year producer price increase signaling broad-based inflation pressures tied to energy and industrial goods. Oil's recent pullback and growing optimism around the Trump-Xi meeting helped bonds stabilize after Tuesday's PPI shock. GNMA securities mirrored the UMBS strength, with the 5.5 coupon at 100.72, up 14 basis points, though longer-dated spreads remain under pressure from geopolitical uncertainty. The mortgage origination industry is absorbing significant technology shifts as AI platforms now execute trades on live mortgage pipelines for the first time, marking a watershed moment in capital markets automation. MCT's Atlas delivered the industry's first AI-powered trade execution on UMBS TBAs this week after recommending hedge trades at MBA Secondary 2025, demonstrating that artificial intelligence can operate within defined risk parameters to complete electronic auctions autonomously. Meanwhile, eNote adoption continues accelerating with over 90 investors now accepting digital notes through the MERS eRegistry, eliminating investor acceptance as a barrier to implementation. Lenders pursuing asset-based lending strategies are seeing record funding volumes, with one platform closing $103 million across 111 loans in April alone, a 91% year-over-year increase. Bankruptcy servicing workflows remain a critical operational challenge as rising volume exposes gaps in coordination, proof-of-claim accuracy, and Rule 3002.1 compliance across servicers managing portfolios under federal stay protections. The 10-year Treasury yield moved lower despite inflation pressures, closing at 4.44% as investors rotated toward fixed income ahead of potential Fed policy shifts and a full rate hike already priced in for early 2027. Kevin Warsh's Senate confirmation as Federal Reserve Chair by the narrowest margin in history (54-45) signals contentious rate-setting deliberations ahead, especially as market participants debate whether inflation will spike for only three to four months or persist through the end of the year. The 30-year Treasury auction yesterday drew decent demand with a 2.30x bid-to-cover ratio, though non-dealer takedown at 88% and a "tail" of 0.5 basis points suggest investors still wanted higher yields to own long-duration government paper. Supply-and-demand dynamics for 30-year mortgages shifted meaningfully as institutional buyers found 5.0% yields attractive for the first time since 2007, pulling demand toward long-dated instruments. War headlines and Middle East escalation, including reports of vessel seizures near the Strait of Hormuz, continue to cloud the outlook and prevent any meaningful lock-float strategy based on short-term geopolitical developments. Mortgage bankers should remain defensive and focus on capital preservation rather than aggressive risk-taking as volatility persists above the longer-term average despite recent stabilization. Current coupon spreads trade near the middle of recent ranges, indicating neither compelling value nor significant overhang in MBS valuation overall. Higher-coupon specified pools offer better relative value than current coupons, particularly for loans with strong FICO scores or investor properties that command tighter pay-ups in secondary market trading. The 5.0% UMBS coupon's resilience at 98.44 reflects investor appetite for discounted paper despite rate uncertainty, while GNMA securities continue to track UMBS with slight premium pricing reflecting investor preferences for government-backed securities. Traders should anticipate continued monitoring of oil prices and Middle East developments as leading indicators for bond market direction, since energy costs remain the primary driver of inflation expectations until geopolitical headlines stabilize. **Locking vs Floating** War-driven volatility in bonds makes tactical lock-float strategies unreliable on an intraday basis since geopolitical headlines do not follow predictable schedules and potential price swings are elevated. Peace negotiations or a formal deal would likely benefit mortgage rates versus current levels over the longer term. Instead of reacting to daily war news, originators should track 10-year Treasury ceilings and floors to identify bigger-picture bond market momentum, which reveals whether the mortgage market is entering a new trading range. **Today's Events** April Import Prices Month-over-Month: 1.9% vs 1.0% forecast May Jobless Claims: 211,000 vs 205,000 forecast April Retail Sales Month-over-Month: 0.5% vs 0.5% forecast (in-line) April Retail Sales Control Group: 0.5% vs 0.4% forecast **Bond Pricing** **UMBS 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **GNMA 30 yr** | Coupon | Price | Intra-Day Change | **Treasuries** | Term | Yield | Price | Intra-Day Yield Change | | 2 yr | 3.965 | 99.805 | -0.006 | | 3 yr | 4.012 | 98.565 | -0.006 | | 5 yr | 4.096 | 98.969 | -0.011 | | 7 yr | 4.269 | 99.887 | -0.021 | | 10 yr | 4.443 | 97.422 | -0.018 | | 30 yr | 5.003 | 96.091 | -0.033 | Market Data
LATEST ARTICLES

RECENT ARTICLES

What’s up in Mortgage Today (09/18/2025)

September 18th, 2025|Week In Review|

WTMS Blog Today = What's up in Mortgage Today (09/18/2025) Mortgage-backed securities (MBS) experienced mixed movements today as volatility remains a theme amid fluctuating investor sentiment. The UMBS market showed notable activity with a slight [...]

Article Archive

What’s up in Mortgage Today – 7.28.23

July 28th, 2023|0 Comments

MBS up 23 bps on the morning With ECI being a report that Powell increasingly mentions by name and PCE being the Fed's go-to big picture inflation index, there was at least something [...]

What’s up in Mortgage Today – 7.24.23

July 24th, 2023|0 Comments

MBS are down 20 bps on the morning. Though mostly due to illiquidity. Stocks flat. Bonds began the overnight session by losing ground in Asia. 10yr yields were as high as 3.857. Things [...]

What’s up in Mortgage Today – 7.21.23

July 21st, 2023|0 Comments

MBS are up 14 bps this morning. Stocks up 12.67 It's a summertime Friday in the bond market, so anything can happen. Bonds could undertake a huge rally or sell-off without any clear [...]

What’s up in Mortgage Today – 7.20.23

July 20th, 2023|0 Comments

MBS down 45 bps on the day. Stocks down 11.3 points as well. A lose-lose Bonds were already several bps into negative territory to start the day but are adding to the losses [...]

What’s up in Mortgage Today – 7.18.23

July 18th, 2023|0 Comments

MBS up 16 bps on open. Stocks flat. Bonds rallied overnight due to a sharper rally in EU bonds. 10yr yields dropped to 3.743 before Retail Sales data and rallied slightly afterward. Pushback [...]

Subscribe

Send me some brain food

Go to Top